Edmonton has hit 25 degrees just ONCE this year.
But, that could change later this week.
There are signs that the Upper Trough currently in place will be replaced by a strong Upper Ridge.
Some models are indicating temperatures near 30 for parts of Central & NW Alberta by Wed/Thu/Fri.

At the same time, the severe weather indices look relatively low this week.
(CAPE is virtually non-existant until the weekend).
So, we could be in for a fairly sunny & hot end to Spring.

Summer officially starts Saturday.  There is a risk of showers or thunderstorms for the Solstice.
But, we'll have a better handle on that later this week.  I wouldn't let that ruin any weekend plans yet.

As for today, we are under the influence of the aforementioned Upper Trough (a pool of cooler air aloft).
It won't be cold, but we probably won't make it to 20 this afternoon.
Showers have developed this morning along a trough from the Grande Prairie area SE to Calgary.
That precipitation isn't moving W to E, it's tracking from SE to NW.
We also have some showers "backing into" the Cold Lake region from east this morning.

As for severe weather:
Portions of SW Alberta (Kananaskis/Pincher Creek/Cardston areas) are under a Rainfall WARNING.
50-80mm of rain is expected from this afternoon to Wednesday morning.


The Capital Region will be between the Western & NE precip zones for most of the day.
However, we can't completely rule out the risk of a scattered shower in the area later this afternoon.


Here's the Edmonton forecast:

Today - Mix of sun & cloud.  Risk of a scattered shower in the area.
High:  18

Tonight - Risk of a scattered shower in the area this evening.
Low:  6  

Tuesday - Mix of sun & cloud.
High:  22

Wednesday - Partly cloudy.
Morning Low:  9
Afternoon High:  24  

Thursday - Sunny with a few clouds.
Morning Low:  10  
Afternoon High:  25  

Friday - Sunny with a few clouds.
Morning Low:  12
Afternoon High:  26

Saturday - Mix of sun & cloud.  40% chance of showers, especially in the morning.  
Morning Low:  13
Afternoon High:  24  

Sunday - Mix of sun & cloud.  40% chance of scattered showers.    
Morning Low:  11  
Afternoon High:  25