Edmonton weather for July 29: Heat warnings back in effect
Daytime highs are forecast to hit 29 C or hotter for the next five days AND morning lows will be in the 15 to 19 degree range.
That's hot enough to qualify for the heat warning that was issued early this morning for Edmonton and area plus all of eastern Alberta from Cold Lake south to the border.
Red Deer and area are also included in the heat warning.
The hottest day for Edmonton will likely be Sunday. Temperatures should climb above 30 C Saturday afternoon. But, Sunday has the potential to be a 33 or 34 degree day.
This far out, I'm playing it conservative and "only" going with a high of 32 C in my forecast. But, it could be a degree or two hotter.
Monday will also likely hit 30 C (maybe a degree or two above).
Saturday has the best chance to break a record. The July 31st record high is 31.1 C in 1922. That number is in serious jeopardy.
Sunday's record of 33.3 C in 1922 is also break-able...but...just a bit less likely than Saturday.
Two days of 30+ will push Edmonton into a tie with 1961 for the most 30-degree days in one year (14).
Three days of 30+ would get us to 15 C and set a new record.
All of this depends on the smoke continuing to stay out of the Edmonton region.
Air quality advisories are in effect for Jasper National Park, Nordegg, Banff and Kananaskis.
So...will we see that push any further east?
We continue to get differing outcomes from the ECCC smoke model and the FireSmoke.ca model.
Neither model pushes THICK smoke over the Edmonton region today or Friday.
The AQHI may sneak up to a "moderate risk" level (as it did last night) and then return to low risk shortly after.
The wind direction from ground level to 120m up is forecast to be predominantly out of the east Saturday-Monday.
So...as long as the models are correct and no smoke pushes in Friday, we shouldn't have too much to worry about through the long weekend.
But...I've said it before and I'll repeat it again: the reliability of smoke forecasting beyond one or two days is pretty low.
We're just going to have to watch it play out day by day.
PRECIP outlook:
A few showers and thunderstorms are moving through parts of east-central and northeast Alberta this morning.
We'll likely see some thunderstorms pop up in the foothills this afternoon (risk of a few severe storms with large hail).
Those showers/storms will track ESE this evening and although Edmonton does have a risk of seeing one of those move through the area, that risk is fairly low.
Most of the action should remain in the foothills tonight.
Not much chance of precip through the long weekend.
Here's the forecast for Edmonton:
Today - Some clouds this morning. Sunny this afternoon.
High: 29
Tonight - A few clouds. 30% chance of a shower overnight or early Thursday morning.
9pm: 23
Friday - Some clouds in the morning. Sunny in the afternoon.
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 29
Saturday - Mainly sunny.
RECORD: 31.1 - 1922
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 31
Sunday - Mainly sunny.
RECORD: 33.3 - 1922
Morning Low: 18
Afternoon High: 32
Monday - Partly cloudy.
RECORD: 33.9 - 1922
Morning Low: 18
Afternoon High: 30
Tuesday - Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 25
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
'They needed people inside Air Canada:' Police announce arrests in Pearson gold heist
Police say one former and one current employee of Air Canada are among the nine suspects that are facing charges in connection with the gold heist at Pearson International Airport last year.
House admonishes ArriveCan contractor in rare parliamentary show of power
MPs enacted an extraordinary, rarely used parliamentary power on Wednesday, summonsing an ArriveCan contractor to appear before the House of Commons where he was admonished publicly and forced to provide answers to the questions MPs said he'd previously evaded.
Leafs star Auston Matthews finishes season with 69 goals
Auston Matthews won't be joining the NHL's 70-goal club this season.
Trump lawyers say Stormy Daniels refused subpoena outside a Brooklyn bar, papers left 'at her feet'
Donald Trump's legal team says it tried serving Stormy Daniels a subpoena as she arrived for an event at a bar in Brooklyn last month, but the porn actor, who is expected to be a witness at the former president's criminal trial, refused to take it and walked away.
Why drivers in Eastern Canada could see big gas price spikes, and other Canadians won't
Drivers in Eastern Canada face a big increase in gas prices because of various factors, especially the higher cost of the summer blend, industry analysts say.
Doug Ford calls on Ontario Speaker to reverse Queen's Park keffiyeh ban
Ontario Premier Doug Ford is calling on Speaker Ted Arnott to reverse a ban on keffiyehs at Queen's Park, describing the move as “needlessly” divisive.
'A living nightmare': Winnipeg woman sentenced following campaign of harassment against man after online date
A Winnipeg woman was sentenced to house arrest after a single date with a man she met online culminated in her harassing him for years, and spurred false allegations which resulted in the innocent man being arrested three times.
Woman who pressured boyfriend to kill his ex in 2000s granted absences from prison
A woman who pressured her boyfriend into killing his teenage ex more than a decade ago will be allowed to leave prison for weeks at a time.
Customers disappointed after email listing $60K Tim Hortons prize sent in error
Several Tim Horton’s customers are feeling great disappointment after being told by the company that an email stating they won a boat worth nearly $60,000 was sent in error.