Edmonton weather for July 29: Heat warnings back in effect
Daytime highs are forecast to hit 29 C or hotter for the next five days AND morning lows will be in the 15 to 19 degree range.
That's hot enough to qualify for the heat warning that was issued early this morning for Edmonton and area plus all of eastern Alberta from Cold Lake south to the border.
Red Deer and area are also included in the heat warning.
The hottest day for Edmonton will likely be Sunday. Temperatures should climb above 30 C Saturday afternoon. But, Sunday has the potential to be a 33 or 34 degree day.
This far out, I'm playing it conservative and "only" going with a high of 32 C in my forecast. But, it could be a degree or two hotter.
Monday will also likely hit 30 C (maybe a degree or two above).
Saturday has the best chance to break a record. The July 31st record high is 31.1 C in 1922. That number is in serious jeopardy.
Sunday's record of 33.3 C in 1922 is also break-able...but...just a bit less likely than Saturday.
Two days of 30+ will push Edmonton into a tie with 1961 for the most 30-degree days in one year (14).
Three days of 30+ would get us to 15 C and set a new record.
All of this depends on the smoke continuing to stay out of the Edmonton region.
Air quality advisories are in effect for Jasper National Park, Nordegg, Banff and Kananaskis.
So...will we see that push any further east?
We continue to get differing outcomes from the ECCC smoke model and the FireSmoke.ca model.
Neither model pushes THICK smoke over the Edmonton region today or Friday.
The AQHI may sneak up to a "moderate risk" level (as it did last night) and then return to low risk shortly after.
The wind direction from ground level to 120m up is forecast to be predominantly out of the east Saturday-Monday.
So...as long as the models are correct and no smoke pushes in Friday, we shouldn't have too much to worry about through the long weekend.
But...I've said it before and I'll repeat it again: the reliability of smoke forecasting beyond one or two days is pretty low.
We're just going to have to watch it play out day by day.
PRECIP outlook:
A few showers and thunderstorms are moving through parts of east-central and northeast Alberta this morning.
We'll likely see some thunderstorms pop up in the foothills this afternoon (risk of a few severe storms with large hail).
Those showers/storms will track ESE this evening and although Edmonton does have a risk of seeing one of those move through the area, that risk is fairly low.
Most of the action should remain in the foothills tonight.
Not much chance of precip through the long weekend.
Here's the forecast for Edmonton:
Today - Some clouds this morning. Sunny this afternoon.
High: 29
Tonight - A few clouds. 30% chance of a shower overnight or early Thursday morning.
9pm: 23
Friday - Some clouds in the morning. Sunny in the afternoon.
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 29
Saturday - Mainly sunny.
RECORD: 31.1 - 1922
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 31
Sunday - Mainly sunny.
RECORD: 33.3 - 1922
Morning Low: 18
Afternoon High: 32
Monday - Partly cloudy.
RECORD: 33.9 - 1922
Morning Low: 18
Afternoon High: 30
Tuesday - Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Morning Low: 17
Afternoon High: 25
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
What to know about avian influenza in dairy cows and the risk to humans
Why is H5N1, or bird flu, a concern, how does it spread, and is there a vaccine? Here are the answers to some frequently asked questions about avian influenza.
'I was scared': Ontario man's car repossessed after missing two repair loan payments
An Ontario man who took out a loan to pay for auto repairs said his car was repossessed after he missed two payments.
opinion The special relationship between King Charles and the Princess of Wales
Royal commentator Afua Hagan writes that when King Charles recently admitted Catherine to the Order of the Companions of Honour, it not only made history, but it reinforced the strong bond between the King and his beloved daughter-in-law.
Man convicted of involuntary manslaughter in father's drowning, told police he was baptizing him
A Massachusetts man who told police he was exorcising a demon and performing a baptism when he shoved his father's head under water multiple times has been convicted of involuntary manslaughter in his death.
New Norad commander calls Canada's defence policy update 'very encouraging'
American troops will be spending more time training in the Far North, the new commander of Norad says, a strategy that fits 'hand-in-glove' with Canada's renewed focus on Arctic defence.
$70M Lotto Max winners kept prize a secret from family for 2 months
During a special winner celebration near their hometown, Doug and Enid shared the story of how they discovered they were holding a Lotto Max ticket worth $70 million and how they kept this huge secret for so long.
Are Canadians getting sick from expired food?
A new survey by Dalhousie University's Agri-Food Analytics Lab asked Canadians about their food consumption habits amid rising prices.
Documents reveal Ottawa's efforts to get Loblaw, Walmart on board with grocery code
It was evident to the federal government as early as last fall that Loblaw and Walmart might be holdouts to the grocery code of conduct, jeopardizing the project's success.
Hubble Space Telescope marks 34 years with new portrait of a 'cosmic dumbbell'
The Hubble Space Telescope has captured a stunning new image of the glowing gas ejected from a dying star, which in this case happens to resemble a 'cosmic dumbbell.'